Different claims stay different
A game projection estimates an outcome. An expert opinion interprets evidence. A market-relative pick requires a specific number and timestamp. FourthWire never blends these into one ambiguous confidence badge.
Every material fact needs a source
Official league and club information is preferred for schedules, transactions and status. Original reporting is attributed. Analysis links back to the factual record that supports it.
Material changes create versions
Published projections are not silently overwritten. A meaningful availability, weather or role change produces a new version with the old value, new value, time and reason.
Results are deterministic
Games are graded against declared rules after official results. Losing calls remain in the archive. Corrections recalculate affected aggregates and preserve before-and-after values.
Confidence is not certainty
Preseason projections are especially uncertain because snap plans and priorities differ. FourthWire reduces confidence or withholds a forecast when inputs are stale, unavailable or not licensed.